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2021-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +3 (128-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 32 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 7-17 3-6 9-9 5 6 1 0 26 - -
Ricky Rubio * 28 4-9 3-5 0-0 4 6 1 0 11 - -
Anthony Edwards * 27 4-10 2-7 6-8 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Josh Okogie * 23 3-6 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 7 - -
D'Angelo Russell 28 6-12 2-5 1-2 3 9 2 1 15 - -
Naz Reid 23 11-15 2-3 0-0 7 2 0 1 24 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 19 6-10 3-5 1-1 2 0 1 0 16 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 39 8-20 1-6 13-14 5 7 2 1 30 - -
Harrison Barnes * 38 7-14 4-9 4-6 6 7 0 0 22 - -
Buddy Hield * 38 11-16 7-11 0-0 6 5 0 1 29 - -
Maurice Harkless * 25 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 7 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 13 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 29 6-9 4-6 0-0 3 6 1 0 16 - -
Damian Jones 21 2-2 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 2 8 - -
Delon Wright 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Chimezie Metu 13 3-3 0-0 4-6 2 1 2 1 10 - -
Terence Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter