Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -1 (105-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 27 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 25 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 12 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 9-23 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 20 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter