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2021-04-21

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% - ✓
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 ✓ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - ✗
Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 64.6% 35.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% - ✗

Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (114-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 37 10-21 2-5 6-6 11 8 3 1 28 - -
Landry Shamet * 36 3-17 2-12 2-2 1 4 0 0 10 - -
Joe Harris * 33 5-10 4-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Jeff Green * 29 2-9 1-7 3-4 1 1 0 2 8 - -
Blake Griffin * 19 3-6 0-2 3-5 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Bruce Brown 30 8-14 2-4 3-4 14 1 0 1 21 - -
DeAndre Jordan 28 3-4 0-0 1-2 12 2 0 1 7 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 19 2-9 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Alize Johnson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 10-19 2-5 5-6 9 6 2 0 27 - -
Kyle Lowry * 35 4-12 3-9 3-4 7 5 0 0 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 34 8-14 4-9 5-5 3 1 0 2 25 - -
Fred VanVleet * 34 5-13 5-10 2-2 3 5 1 0 17 - -
Khem Birch * 24 3-5 1-2 1-2 7 3 0 1 8 - -
Freddie Gillespie 23 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 5 4 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 14 2-9 1-5 0-0 4 0 2 0 5 - -
Yuta Watanabe 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Malachi Flynn 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 10 2-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter