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2021-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% -
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: New York Knicks +12 (109-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 38 6-16 3-9 0-2 14 3 1 1 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 38 8-17 4-9 1-2 7 8 0 0 21 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 35 5-12 0-3 1-2 4 3 1 1 11 - -
Devonte' Graham * 29 3-10 3-7 0-0 2 7 0 0 9 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
P.J. Washington 35 10-18 6-10 0-0 3 0 1 0 26 - -
Cody Martin 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 4 - -
Caleb Martin 23 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 1 5 - -
Cody Zeller 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 40 5-16 1-6 5-6 10 7 2 0 16 - -
RJ Barrett * 39 8-17 6-11 2-2 1 0 0 1 24 - -
Reggie Bullock * 37 5-12 5-12 1-1 4 4 1 1 16 - -
Nerlens Noel * 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 2 4 - -
Elfrid Payton * 18 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Derrick Rose 25 8-12 1-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 17 - -
Taj Gibson 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 6 - -
Immanuel Quickley 19 5-9 4-7 3-3 1 1 0 0 17 - -
Kevin Knox II 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter