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2021-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 ✓ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% - ✓
Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 15.2% 84.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +16 (112-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chuma Okeke * 32 3-10 0-5 0-0 5 2 3 0 6 - -
Cole Anthony * 30 6-15 1-6 4-5 5 8 2 0 17 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 29 3-9 1-2 3-4 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Gary Harris * 27 4-8 1-3 5-7 0 0 0 0 14 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 25 6-8 1-2 4-6 9 0 3 0 17 - -
R.J. Hampton 21 3-8 1-3 1-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Mo Bamba 19 1-5 0-4 0-0 8 1 0 1 2 - -
Devin Cannady 18 1-7 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Chasson Randle 17 4-9 1-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Robert Franks 15 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 1 7 - -
Donta Hall 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 32 7-16 2-5 9-10 5 7 1 0 25 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 31 6-16 2-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 14 - -
Kevin Huerter * 30 6-14 3-8 0-1 2 2 3 0 15 - -
Clint Capela * 26 7-12 0-0 0-0 19 0 0 2 14 - -
John Collins * 25 4-9 0-2 3-4 15 2 0 1 11 - -
Solomon Hill 29 0-3 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 - -
Lou Williams 23 6-14 2-7 8-9 3 2 0 0 22 - -
Brandon Goodwin 16 3-6 0-1 1-1 5 3 0 0 7 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 - -
Nathan Knight 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Skylar Mays 2 0-1 0-0 4-4 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Bruno Fernando 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter