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Utah Jazz 111
@
2021-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% - ✗
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.1 ✗ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✓
Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (97-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Ingles * 31 8-11 5-8 0-0 4 5 0 0 21 - -
Royce O'Neale * 30 5-5 3-3 0-0 9 5 0 2 13 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 30 7-12 2-6 3-3 3 4 1 0 19 - -
Rudy Gobert * 28 5-7 0-0 4-5 10 2 1 2 14 - -
Mike Conley * 28 5-11 3-6 1-1 2 10 1 0 14 - -
Jordan Clarkson 31 9-14 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 22 - -
Derrick Favors 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 - -
Georges Niang 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Miye Oni 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jarrell Brantley 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Juwan Morgan 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Trent Forrest 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Elijah Hughes 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 29 8-13 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 17 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 5-8 5-7 0-0 0 0 1 0 15 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 3-12 0-0 2-5 8 4 2 0 8 - -
Dennis Schroder * 28 6-11 2-3 1-2 4 6 4 0 15 - -
Markieff Morris * 23 1-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 28 8-13 3-5 5-7 4 2 2 0 24 - -
Alex Caruso 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Ben McLemore 16 0-2 0-2 6-7 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Devontae Cacok 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 4 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter