Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (139-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 45 | 13-24 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 43 | 8-20 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 41 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 40 | 9-17 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 45 | 20-31 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 47 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 44 | 8-19 | 5-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 43 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 37 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 12 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter