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2021-04-19

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 41 6-11 1-2 3-5 10 2 0 2 16 - -
Stephen Curry * 36 14-28 10-17 11-12 3 5 0 0 49 - -
Kevon Looney * 33 2-4 0-0 1-2 15 1 0 0 5 - -
Draymond Green * 30 4-8 0-3 0-0 6 6 2 0 8 - -
Kent Bazemore * 14 0-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Damion Lee 31 5-6 2-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 12 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 21 2-6 0-1 5-7 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Poole 17 1-7 1-4 3-4 1 0 0 2 6 - -
Mychal Mulder 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Gary Payton II 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alen Smailagic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nico Mannion 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 35 6-15 3-7 0-0 0 5 1 0 15 - -
Danny Green * 32 4-8 4-7 0-0 7 2 3 0 12 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 8-21 1-3 11-14 13 8 1 1 28 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 25 4-11 2-7 0-0 0 2 1 0 10 - -
Mike Scott * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Matisse Thybulle 31 6-11 1-4 0-0 7 1 3 1 13 - -
Shake Milton 19 1-7 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 5 - -
George Hill 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 2 2 - -
Tyrese Maxey 16 5-9 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Dwight Howard 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 2 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Rayjon Tucker 0 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter