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2021-04-19

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -6 (96-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Williams * 32 3-6 0-2 0-0 6 3 1 2 6 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 13-23 3-6 0-0 9 2 2 1 29 - -
Garrett Temple * 31 4-9 3-3 2-2 4 4 0 2 13 - -
Coby White * 29 5-14 3-8 6-6 3 7 1 1 19 - -
Daniel Theis * 28 3-9 0-3 0-0 6 4 1 1 6 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Lauri Markkanen 19 4-8 1-4 0-1 5 1 1 0 9 - -
Tomas Satoransky 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 16 6-12 0-2 1-1 2 3 2 0 13 - -
Denzel Valentine 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 3-17 1-4 7-8 13 10 0 0 14 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 10-15 3-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 23 - -
Tristan Thompson * 33 5-6 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 11 - -
Payton Pritchard * 31 5-8 2-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 14 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 19 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Grant Williams 22 1-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Romeo Langford 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 - -
Jabari Parker 15 4-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 8 - -
Luke Kornet 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Tremont Waters 7 3-3 1-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Aaron Nesmith 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter