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2021-04-19

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (109-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 38 12-20 1-1 3-3 7 4 1 2 28 - -
Darius Garland * 36 9-19 2-8 3-5 1 6 2 1 23 - -
Isaac Okoro * 32 2-9 0-4 2-2 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Kevin Love * 29 7-13 0-4 1-2 8 4 0 0 15 - -
Jarrett Allen * 27 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 1 5 - -
Taurean Prince 24 3-8 2-7 3-3 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 19 5-8 0-0 3-4 6 4 1 3 13 - -
Dean Wade 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 35 6-12 6-11 2-3 5 1 2 0 20 - -
Killian Hayes * 33 5-8 0-1 2-2 3 9 1 0 12 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 8-12 0-0 2-2 16 0 3 3 18 - -
Josh Jackson * 30 5-16 0-5 6-7 5 4 1 1 16 - -
Tyler Cook * 30 6-11 0-0 0-2 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Frank Jackson 27 7-14 3-8 3-5 4 2 0 1 20 - -
Hamidou Diallo 20 2-8 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jahlil Okafor 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Saben Lee 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 - -

* = starter