Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -14 (107-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 12-21 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 18 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 29 | 9-12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 37 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 14-27 | 4-13 | 5-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 37 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 30 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter