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2021-04-18

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.2% 80.8% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 33 6-15 3-5 1-2 8 1 0 1 16 - -
Luguentz Dort * 31 9-15 5-8 6-8 4 2 1 0 29 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski * 28 4-14 0-8 0-0 7 5 0 6 8 - -
Theo Maledon * 27 3-5 0-1 3-3 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Moses Brown * 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenrich Williams 21 4-5 2-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 12 - -
Isaiah Roby 20 4-6 1-1 2-2 8 3 1 1 11 - -
Tony Bradley 19 2-3 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Ty Jerome 19 3-10 3-5 0-0 2 6 2 0 9 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 17 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Boucher * 35 10-16 6-9 5-7 12 2 1 1 31 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 33 9-25 5-10 0-0 5 1 5 1 23 - -
Malachi Flynn * 30 6-14 3-5 0-0 7 5 0 0 15 - -
Khem Birch * 28 2-9 1-1 2-2 6 3 1 1 7 - -
Paul Watson * 22 0-10 0-6 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 29 3-6 1-2 3-4 4 4 0 0 10 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 20 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Freddie Gillespie 19 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 10 - -
Stanley Johnson 13 3-9 1-5 5-5 3 1 2 0 12 - -
Rodney Hood 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter