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2021-04-18

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% -
Points Off/Def 48.0% 52.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 39 9-18 4-9 3-6 10 3 1 1 25 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 38 9-14 2-4 4-5 7 4 1 0 24 - -
Avery Bradley * 33 2-8 1-3 2-2 5 3 0 1 7 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 32 7-10 0-1 0-0 7 6 1 3 14 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 31 8-15 4-7 2-2 3 7 1 0 22 - -
Armoni Brooks 26 5-7 5-6 1-3 2 1 2 0 16 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 21 2-5 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 6 - -
D.J. Wilson 15 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 2 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 33 5-14 1-6 5-5 4 9 1 2 16 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 32 7-14 1-5 7-7 3 2 3 0 22 - -
Chuma Okeke * 32 6-17 2-6 0-0 4 2 4 1 14 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 5-7 1-1 0-1 10 1 1 0 11 - -
Gary Harris * 26 6-12 2-2 2-3 1 3 0 0 16 - -
R.J. Hampton 21 2-7 0-2 3-3 3 6 0 0 7 - -
Mo Bamba 16 5-9 1-3 0-0 9 2 0 1 11 - -
Robert Franks 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 5 - -
Devin Cannady 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Chasson Randle 14 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter