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2021-04-18

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: New York Knicks +10 (122-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 41 13-23 0-3 8-11 9 5 2 0 34 - -
Brandon Ingram * 39 6-18 0-2 7-8 4 4 0 1 19 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 38 8-20 3-9 3-3 4 4 0 0 22 - -
Steven Adams * 36 5-7 0-0 0-2 14 3 1 0 10 - -
Lonzo Ball * 27 2-9 1-5 0-0 7 3 2 0 5 - -
Naji Marshall 25 2-7 1-3 4-4 2 3 1 0 9 - -
James Johnson 22 1-9 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 6 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
James Nunnally 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 47 11-28 2-8 9-10 5 10 5 0 33 - -
RJ Barrett * 36 7-15 2-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Reggie Bullock * 36 6-8 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 15 - -
Nerlens Noel * 28 5-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 2 12 - -
Elfrid Payton * 19 2-8 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 5 - -
Derrick Rose 35 9-17 2-4 3-4 3 5 1 1 23 - -
Taj Gibson 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 14 2 1 2 6 - -
Immanuel Quickley 21 1-5 1-3 5-6 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter