Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (129-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 31 | 11-18 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 27 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 40 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 37 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 35 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 13-14 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 20 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter