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2021-04-18

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% -
Log Adjusted 34.9% 65.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -13 (115-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 33 9-15 0-4 3-3 6 4 2 0 21 - -
Kyle Anderson * 33 3-7 0-3 2-2 8 8 1 1 8 - -
Grayson Allen * 33 9-13 7-10 1-2 4 1 2 0 26 - -
Ja Morant * 31 5-16 3-9 0-0 6 6 0 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 7-10 0-2 3-3 8 2 0 1 17 - -
Desmond Bane 24 6-10 3-5 1-1 4 6 0 0 16 - -
Xavier Tillman 21 7-10 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Tyus Jones 16 3-9 1-5 1-1 1 1 2 0 8 - -
John Konchar 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 3 0 2 - -
Killian Tillie 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Jontay Porter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 5-11 3-5 4-4 4 7 2 0 17 - -
Khris Middleton * 34 5-13 3-6 3-4 5 10 2 0 16 - -
Bryn Forbes * 31 7-13 3-9 2-2 6 1 0 0 19 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 10-18 0-3 8-12 11 8 0 0 28 - -
Brook Lopez * 28 5-13 4-9 3-3 3 0 0 1 17 - -
Pat Connaughton 24 3-9 1-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 7 - -
P.J. Tucker 21 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 5 - -
Jeff Teague 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Bobby Portis 9 2-5 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Rodions Kurucs 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Merrill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Mamadi Diakite 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter