🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-04-18

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 40 8-15 2-5 4-5 2 0 1 1 22 - -
Draymond Green * 37 2-6 1-2 0-0 5 10 1 1 5 - -
Stephen Curry * 37 15-27 11-19 6-8 7 3 0 0 47 - -
Kent Bazemore * 31 6-12 2-5 2-4 4 0 1 0 16 - -
Kevon Looney * 25 2-4 0-1 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 25 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 4 1 0 4 - -
Jordan Poole 21 4-10 1-6 3-3 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Damion Lee 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 16-25 5-9 7-8 10 3 2 0 44 - -
Kemba Walker * 38 9-20 4-11 4-5 8 3 2 0 26 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 5-15 3-11 3-4 9 6 2 0 16 - -
Tristan Thompson * 27 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 24 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 21 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 1 11 - -
Jabari Parker 15 5-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Romeo Langford 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 5 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter