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2021-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -1 (106-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 38 8-17 2-6 4-4 2 4 1 1 22 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 13-26 2-6 1-2 2 6 1 1 29 - -
Robert Covington * 32 3-5 2-3 0-0 6 2 3 1 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 22 4-11 0-0 1-2 6 4 0 1 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Anfernee Simons 29 5-10 4-8 2-2 2 2 2 1 16 - -
Carmelo Anthony 25 5-12 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Enes Kanter 25 3-5 0-0 4-4 13 3 0 0 10 - -
Nassir Little 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 11-25 0-1 4-4 4 10 1 1 26 - -
Dejounte Murray * 33 5-13 2-4 1-2 11 10 1 0 13 - -
Derrick White * 32 4-11 3-5 2-2 3 2 0 3 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 8-11 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 3 17 - -
Keldon Johnson * 24 4-8 0-1 0-0 11 0 2 0 8 - -
Rudy Gay 21 4-9 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 2 9 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 21 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Patty Mills 20 0-6 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 7-7 0-0 1-1 4 1 2 0 15 - -

* = starter