Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -29 (99-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 27 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 23 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 21 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 16 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 31 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| John Wall * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 27 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter