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2021-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 57.0% 43.0% -1.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Log Adjusted 56.4% 43.6% -
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -11 (115-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 32 5-11 1-3 4-6 7 5 0 0 15 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 7-9 1-2 1-1 7 5 0 0 16 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 12-19 4-7 4-5 2 2 1 0 32 - -
Grayson Allen * 26 3-9 3-7 2-4 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Kyle Anderson * 24 2-8 0-5 2-2 11 7 1 2 6 - -
Desmond Bane 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Killian Tillie 22 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 2 2 1 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 16 4-6 2-4 4-4 2 0 2 1 14 - -
John Konchar 16 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Tyus Jones 15 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 7 2 0 10 - -
Sean McDermott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 33 8-17 4-8 7-7 5 7 0 0 27 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 9-22 3-7 3-4 14 6 0 0 24 - -
Patrick Williams * 29 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 6 - -
Garrett Temple * 24 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 2 0 5 - -
Daniel Theis * 20 3-6 0-1 1-3 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Thaddeus Young 22 8-15 1-1 0-0 6 4 0 0 17 - -
Lauri Markkanen 20 1-7 1-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 18 5-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Denzel Valentine 17 4-7 3-6 0-0 0 1 0 1 11 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Devon Dotson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Cristiano Felicio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter