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2021-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% - ✓
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 ✓ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (113-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 8-12 1-1 3-4 9 1 0 1 20 - -
James Ennis III * 29 1-6 1-4 3-4 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Cole Anthony * 29 6-12 3-5 4-5 7 5 0 0 19 - -
Gary Harris * 26 0-7 0-2 7-8 1 4 2 1 7 - -
Chuma Okeke * 25 5-10 2-4 2-4 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Terrence Ross 21 3-5 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 1 6 - -
R.J. Hampton 19 3-8 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Chasson Randle 18 2-7 1-5 1-2 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Dwayne Bacon 17 6-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Donta Hall 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 3 1 1 1 - -
Robert Franks 1 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Devin Cannady 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Flynn * 34 3-12 0-4 0-0 3 8 2 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher * 31 3-6 0-1 5-5 7 2 0 2 11 - -
Khem Birch * 26 3-7 0-1 1-2 6 0 1 3 7 - -
Paul Watson * 25 10-13 8-11 2-2 4 1 1 1 30 - -
Fred VanVleet * 23 3-11 0-6 0-0 1 6 1 2 6 - -
Yuta Watanabe 26 7-11 2-4 5-5 6 2 0 1 21 - -
Freddie Gillespie 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 10 - -
Stanley Johnson 20 5-8 3-5 0-0 6 2 1 1 13 - -
Rodney Hood 17 2-6 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 7 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter