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2021-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (110-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 33 7-18 1-10 4-4 7 2 1 0 19 - -
Luguentz Dort * 32 9-20 3-8 5-8 6 2 3 1 26 - -
Theo Maledon * 29 3-14 1-9 1-2 8 2 3 0 8 - -
Moses Brown * 24 5-9 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 2 12 - -
Isaiah Roby * 22 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 2 9 - -
Kenrich Williams 25 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 4 2 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 22 4-6 0-0 3-3 7 1 2 2 11 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 20 4-9 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Ty Jerome 18 3-8 1-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Jaylen Hoard 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 39 8-20 2-12 0-0 7 2 1 1 18 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 7-12 0-1 1-2 21 3 0 2 15 - -
Josh Jackson * 27 9-16 2-4 9-10 7 0 2 1 29 - -
Killian Hayes * 26 3-10 1-2 2-2 4 7 5 1 9 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 23 2-6 1-4 3-6 1 3 1 0 8 - -
Frank Jackson 23 5-10 3-6 5-8 5 0 0 0 18 - -
Saben Lee 21 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 4 3 1 2 - -
Tyler Cook 20 3-7 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Jahlil Okafor 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 1 3 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter