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2021-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Margin 68.9% 31.1% -4.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (113-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 32 17-20 3-5 3-3 9 3 1 0 40 - -
Marcus Smart * 31 5-8 3-6 2-2 6 4 1 0 15 - -
Jayson Tatum * 27 6-14 2-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 14 - -
Tristan Thompson * 24 6-8 0-0 2-4 6 5 0 1 14 - -
Kemba Walker * 24 4-7 2-3 2-2 2 7 0 0 12 - -
Grant Williams 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 5-11 3-6 2-2 7 3 0 0 15 - -
Luke Kornet 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 4 3 - -
Romeo Langford 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Carsen Edwards 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tremont Waters 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 29 5-14 2-6 1-2 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Dennis Schroder * 28 3-8 1-2 1-2 1 8 0 0 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 23 1-7 0-3 0-1 3 2 3 0 2 - -
Wesley Matthews * 22 1-7 1-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 7-10 4-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 18 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 27 7-15 0-3 5-5 6 7 3 0 19 - -
Ben McLemore 23 7-12 2-6 1-1 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 5-11 0-0 2-2 8 3 1 1 12 - -
Alex Caruso 15 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 15 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 10 - -
Devontae Cacok 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 7 0-1 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter