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2021-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% -
Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.2% 24.8% -
Points Off/Def 63.7% 36.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -18 (101-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 34 9-16 5-8 0-0 6 6 0 0 23 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 12-25 4-13 5-5 4 5 0 2 33 - -
Draymond Green * 32 2-8 1-4 0-0 10 8 3 2 5 - -
Kevon Looney * 27 4-7 0-1 0-0 10 2 0 0 8 - -
Kent Bazemore * 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 30 8-9 3-4 1-2 7 3 1 1 20 - -
Damion Lee 23 5-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Jordan Poole 23 5-12 2-8 2-3 0 4 3 0 14 - -
Mychal Mulder 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Gary Payton II 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nico Mannion 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Alen Smailagic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 34 6-7 0-0 5-6 14 1 2 0 17 - -
Collin Sexton * 34 10-19 3-5 7-10 4 2 0 0 30 - -
Darius Garland * 34 7-20 2-7 4-5 4 7 1 0 20 - -
Isaac Okoro * 33 3-8 0-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 6 - -
Kevin Love * 21 2-10 1-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 - -
Taurean Prince 19 5-10 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 12 - -
Dean Wade 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 2 3 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Lamar Stevens 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Brodric Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter