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2021-04-15

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% - ✗
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 ✓ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.7% 42.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -11 (109-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 33 9-17 2-4 3-4 4 7 1 0 23 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 4-14 2-7 0-0 9 7 1 0 10 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 7-10 3-6 2-3 12 0 0 1 19 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 24 7-12 1-2 0-2 5 2 3 1 15 - -
Bryn Forbes * 22 4-9 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Jeff Teague 26 3-8 0-2 5-6 2 5 0 0 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 26 5-12 4-11 0-0 8 0 0 0 14 - -
Bobby Portis 21 4-9 1-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 11 - -
P.J. Tucker 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 38 7-11 2-4 0-0 6 4 1 0 16 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 38 10-20 6-12 2-2 6 7 1 0 28 - -
Trae Young * 36 3-17 0-3 9-9 2 9 0 0 15 - -
Clint Capela * 36 7-10 0-0 2-4 16 0 1 2 16 - -
Solomon Hill * 33 6-11 6-8 0-0 5 1 0 1 18 - -
Lou Williams 23 2-7 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 6 - -
Nathan Knight 13 0-5 0-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 9 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Brandon Goodwin 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter