Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (113-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxi Kleber * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 10-20 | 3-10 | 6-9 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 34 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 19 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter