Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (37.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -38 (109-147). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 33 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 14-20 | 11-16 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 36 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 21 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 24 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Nico Mannion | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Maledon * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Moses Brown * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 28 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 22 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 21 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Jaylen Hoard | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 14 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Josh Hall | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Justin Robinson | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter