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2021-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.1 ✗ (26.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% - ✓
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 77.0% 23.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 66.6% 33.4% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -25 (105-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 25 9-15 3-7 6-6 8 7 1 0 27 - -
Jrue Holiday * 25 7-15 1-3 0-0 4 4 3 0 15 - -
Bobby Portis * 24 6-13 1-2 0-0 7 5 2 0 13 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 23 2-5 1-3 2-2 6 4 0 0 7 - -
Brook Lopez * 22 6-9 2-4 4-4 8 0 2 2 18 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 22 0-5 0-1 1-4 6 3 2 1 1 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 5-10 4-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Bryn Forbes 17 4-7 2-5 4-5 1 0 0 0 14 - -
Jeff Teague 16 1-6 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
P.J. Tucker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 8 3-7 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Mamadi Diakite 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 - -
Sam Merrill 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Rodions Kurucs 6 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 30 3-10 0-4 3-4 15 2 2 3 9 - -
Anthony Edwards * 30 8-21 5-11 3-5 0 3 3 0 24 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 25 5-10 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Josh Okogie * 23 4-6 3-4 2-2 2 0 0 2 13 - -
Ricky Rubio * 18 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 - -
D'Angelo Russell 22 4-14 1-5 6-6 2 6 1 0 15 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 21 5-6 3-4 5-6 2 1 1 1 18 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 19 2-5 0-0 0-4 10 3 1 0 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 18 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 4 2 0 4 - -
Jaylen Nowell 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Ed Davis 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Jake Layman 5 1-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Jarrett Culver 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter