Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (117-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 34 | 7-16 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 30 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 17 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 7-20 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn * | 32 | 4-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 19 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Freddie Gillespie | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter