Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (103-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 39 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 40 | 13-19 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 35 | 3-15 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn * | 35 | 8-18 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 25 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 17 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Freddie Gillespie | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter