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2021-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% -
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% -
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +6 (126-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 40 7-15 3-8 5-6 5 14 2 0 22 - -
John Wall * 35 5-20 3-10 0-0 2 8 1 0 13 - -
Christian Wood * 34 10-15 3-5 2-3 15 3 2 0 25 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 29 6-10 1-5 3-5 8 1 1 0 16 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 21 4-7 0-2 2-2 5 4 3 1 10 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 24 3-4 1-1 2-2 7 0 0 2 9 - -
Avery Bradley 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Armoni Brooks 14 5-6 4-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 14 - -
D.J. Wilson 13 3-5 1-3 1-1 6 0 0 0 8 - -
D.J. Augustin 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 34 9-18 2-5 4-4 7 7 0 1 24 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 2-7 1-3 1-2 4 3 3 1 6 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 9-13 0-0 0-3 8 0 3 1 18 - -
Chris Paul * 26 2-8 2-3 3-3 4 10 2 0 9 - -
Jae Crowder * 25 8-12 8-12 2-3 2 2 1 0 26 - -
Cameron Johnson 23 4-7 3-5 0-1 1 4 3 0 11 - -
Cameron Payne 21 4-12 3-6 0-0 2 4 0 0 11 - -
Jevon Carter 18 3-6 3-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Dario Saric 17 3-8 2-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 9 - -
Torrey Craig 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter