Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 11-21 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 41 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 14-24 | 10-18 | 15-16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 53 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 17 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nico Mannion | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter