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2021-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✓ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - ✓
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 42 5-14 3-6 3-3 11 1 3 1 16 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 38 15-30 5-13 8-15 6 6 1 0 43 - -
Maurice Harkless * 34 5-11 0-5 5-7 3 5 2 0 15 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 30 5-10 1-5 1-2 1 6 1 0 12 - -
Richaun Holmes * 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Delon Wright 22 5-11 1-2 1-2 1 0 4 0 12 - -
Damian Jones 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 - -
Terence Davis 17 2-8 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Chimezie Metu 9 0-1 0-0 3-6 3 0 1 1 3 - -
Kyle Guy 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Hassan Whiteside 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 38 13-21 0-0 4-8 6 4 0 1 30 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 3-11 1-6 6-6 2 5 2 0 13 - -
Brandon Ingram * 33 11-18 3-8 9-10 6 7 1 2 34 - -
Wes Iwundu * 27 3-4 1-2 4-5 7 0 0 1 11 - -
Steven Adams * 26 2-4 0-0 2-6 16 0 1 0 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 20 4-7 0-1 0-2 7 0 3 0 8 - -
Naji Marshall 20 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 - -
James Johnson 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 15 5-9 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 11 - -
Isaiah Thomas 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter