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2021-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✗
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 ✗ (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (95-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 27 4-11 1-2 1-2 4 4 1 2 10 - -
Joel Embiid * 25 10-17 2-3 14-15 7 2 1 0 36 - -
Danny Green * 25 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Seth Curry * 24 3-8 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Ben Simmons * 24 3-6 0-0 2-6 6 7 1 0 8 - -
Shake Milton 24 3-6 0-1 4-6 3 5 1 0 10 - -
Matisse Thybulle 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 2 1 7 - -
Dwight Howard 20 2-3 0-1 0-1 7 0 1 0 4 - -
Mike Scott 18 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 18 7-10 4-7 2-3 2 1 2 0 20 - -
Tyrese Maxey 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Rayjon Tucker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Mason Jones 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Finney-Smith * 34 5-10 2-7 0-0 11 1 1 0 12 - -
Luka Doncic * 33 10-20 2-7 10-11 4 4 1 1 32 - -
Josh Richardson * 31 3-7 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 1 7 - -
Jalen Brunson * 30 7-14 0-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 15 - -
Maxi Kleber * 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 21 3-9 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Dwight Powell 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 2 3 0 3 - -
JJ Redick 13 1-7 1-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Nicolo Melli 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Trey Burke 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tyler Bey 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Josh Green 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Nate Hinton 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter