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2021-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Log Adjusted 51.0% 49.0% -
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: New York Knicks +15 (111-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 36 7-13 1-3 6-6 3 6 0 0 21 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 5-13 2-9 2-2 4 0 0 2 14 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 4 1 1 12 - -
Markieff Morris * 26 7-11 3-6 0-0 2 4 0 1 17 - -
Andre Drummond * 25 1-3 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 1 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 10 - -
Wesley Matthews 16 0-3 0-2 2-3 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Alex Caruso 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Ben McLemore 14 2-8 2-7 2-3 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Marc Gasol 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Devontae Cacok 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 13-23 2-6 6-7 10 4 2 1 34 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 2-11 0-4 3-4 3 3 2 1 7 - -
Reggie Bullock * 30 4-12 3-10 1-1 2 3 2 0 12 - -
Nerlens Noel * 30 2-3 0-0 2-2 9 2 4 2 6 - -
Elfrid Payton * 27 9-12 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 0 20 - -
Derrick Rose 19 5-9 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 1 14 - -
Alec Burks 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Taj Gibson 16 3-5 0-0 2-2 10 0 2 3 8 - -
Immanuel Quickley 15 2-6 0-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 9 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Norvel Pelle 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Frank Ntilikina 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter