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2021-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +4 (121-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 13-28 4-12 0-1 7 6 0 1 30 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 27 7-13 2-3 2-2 5 5 0 3 18 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 4-7 0-2 2-3 0 6 0 1 10 - -
Thaddeus Young * 20 4-7 0-0 1-2 8 3 1 2 9 - -
Daniel Theis 28 5-10 2-6 1-2 7 3 3 0 13 - -
Coby White 23 4-8 1-4 2-2 0 2 3 0 11 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 21 6-7 3-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 15 - -
Lauri Markkanen 18 3-4 2-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 12 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 8-15 3-7 8-8 12 8 0 2 27 - -
Anthony Edwards * 35 5-14 2-5 3-3 5 2 3 0 15 - -
Josh Okogie * 35 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 6 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 1-7 0-4 2-2 6 1 1 3 4 - -
Ricky Rubio * 25 6-13 5-6 0-0 4 9 1 0 17 - -
Naz Reid 28 6-9 2-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 18 - -
D'Angelo Russell 25 9-13 3-6 6-6 2 4 0 0 27 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter