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2021-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (125-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 38 10-21 5-9 4-6 9 11 1 0 29 - -
Caris LeVert * 34 14-20 2-6 4-4 5 3 1 3 34 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 29 7-13 1-4 3-3 15 9 1 0 18 - -
Justin Holiday * 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 5 2 1 5 - -
Edmond Sumner * 20 4-8 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 1 11 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 10 - -
Doug McDermott 19 6-10 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Goga Bitadze 18 2-7 1-4 2-2 6 1 0 5 7 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jeremy Lamb 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 8-15 0-1 7-11 2 6 2 0 23 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 16-25 0-0 2-2 22 2 0 2 34 - -
Dillon Brooks * 31 6-17 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 13 - -
Kyle Anderson * 27 5-13 1-2 4-4 5 2 3 0 15 - -
Grayson Allen * 21 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 5 - -
Desmond Bane 26 3-10 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 1 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 3-11 0-1 0-2 7 1 0 1 6 - -
Tyus Jones 16 5-8 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Xavier Tillman 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 6 - -
John Konchar 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 - -

* = starter