Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (117-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 13-25 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 19 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 10-17 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 35 | 12-21 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 29 | 4-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter