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2021-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% -
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: New York Knicks +6 (102-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 37 5-10 2-7 7-8 7 6 3 0 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 5-18 1-5 5-5 0 7 0 2 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 35 9-17 3-8 2-2 3 1 0 0 23 - -
Chris Boucher * 30 6-10 1-3 4-4 14 0 0 4 17 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 26 2-9 1-4 1-2 5 4 0 1 6 - -
Khem Birch 17 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 15 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 8 - -
Rodney Hood 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Freddie Gillespie 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 7-19 1-8 11-11 8 5 0 0 26 - -
RJ Barrett * 32 7-12 3-6 2-3 1 5 2 0 19 - -
Nerlens Noel * 28 4-7 0-0 1-2 13 1 1 4 9 - -
Reggie Bullock * 27 4-11 2-8 0-0 3 0 4 0 10 - -
Elfrid Payton * 16 5-7 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Alec Burks 26 2-9 1-4 3-4 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Rose 23 4-10 0-1 3-3 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Taj Gibson 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Immanuel Quickley 17 1-8 1-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Obi Toppin 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 - -
Frank Ntilikina 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter