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2021-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 ✓ (32.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 73.4% 26.6% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -37 (87-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 28 8-13 2-4 3-4 8 5 1 1 21 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 26 4-12 1-7 0-0 7 4 1 0 9 - -
Jrue Holiday * 26 4-10 2-2 2-2 5 7 1 1 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 22 3-9 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton * 17 4-4 3-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Bobby Portis 23 6-12 4-6 0-0 10 1 1 0 16 - -
Bryn Forbes 23 5-10 2-5 1-2 3 2 3 0 13 - -
Jordan Nwora 20 5-12 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 2 11 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 20 3-5 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 2 7 - -
Jeff Teague 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 1 2 - -
Sam Merrill 6 2-3 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Rodions Kurucs 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Mamadi Diakite 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 3-7 0-2 2-3 7 2 2 2 8 - -
Gary Harris * 26 4-10 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 1 9 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 26 1-5 1-2 4-4 6 2 2 0 7 - -
James Ennis III * 24 2-7 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 22 4-10 0-5 1-3 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Terrence Ross 27 1-6 0-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 4 - -
R.J. Hampton 26 3-11 1-5 0-0 3 3 2 0 7 - -
Cole Anthony 26 5-16 0-6 2-2 7 5 1 1 12 - -
Mo Bamba 20 8-11 5-6 0-1 5 0 0 1 21 - -
Devin Cannady 6 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Chasson Randle 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter