Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -18 (87-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 33 | 9-23 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 9-23 | 1-12 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 33 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 14 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter