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2021-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +16 (125-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 36 11-19 5-7 3-6 2 7 1 1 30 - -
Christian Wood * 35 8-14 0-4 2-2 7 3 0 0 18 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 33 4-13 1-6 0-0 5 4 1 0 9 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 32 3-10 0-3 1-2 11 1 4 1 7 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 32 7-13 2-5 2-4 11 3 0 0 18 - -
D.J. Augustin 22 5-9 3-7 6-6 3 6 0 0 19 - -
Avery Bradley 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
D.J. Wilson 9 1-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Sterling Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 35 11-21 1-5 2-2 6 3 0 2 25 - -
Draymond Green * 34 0-3 0-0 2-2 7 7 3 0 2 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 13-21 8-15 4-4 8 5 1 0 38 - -
Kent Bazemore * 32 4-9 1-3 0-0 7 4 2 1 9 - -
James Wiseman * 6 3-5 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Poole 25 8-11 3-5 2-2 1 4 3 0 21 - -
Kevon Looney 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 4 - -
Damion Lee 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 17 3-4 0-1 2-2 5 4 1 1 8 - -
Mychal Mulder 11 4-7 1-4 1-2 0 1 1 0 10 - -
Gary Payton II 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter