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2021-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% - ✗
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✗ (26.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - ✗
Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 40.6% 59.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - ✗

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -25 (101-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Talen Horton-Tucker * 34 4-16 2-5 4-5 3 11 3 0 14 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 5-10 4-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 14 - -
Markieff Morris * 29 6-8 2-3 0-0 6 2 3 0 14 - -
Andre Drummond * 22 8-15 0-0 4-6 11 0 1 1 20 - -
Dennis Schroder * 20 7-11 3-4 2-2 1 4 0 0 19 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 26 4-6 2-4 0-2 9 4 1 0 10 - -
Alex Caruso 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 4-10 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 2 10 - -
Ben McLemore 22 6-12 5-10 0-0 1 0 1 0 17 - -
Devontae Cacok 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 2 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Harris * 29 2-8 0-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Jeff Green * 25 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Durant * 23 8-17 1-4 5-5 7 5 0 1 22 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 22 5-8 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 3 12 - -
Kyrie Irving * 20 6-11 2-5 4-4 4 0 0 0 18 - -
Bruce Brown 26 1-2 0-0 3-5 7 2 0 1 5 - -
Landry Shamet 23 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 3 0 3 - -
Chris Chiozza 16 2-8 0-3 1-2 0 0 0 1 5 - -
Blake Griffin 16 0-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 1 2 - -
Nicolas Claxton 14 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 9 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Reggie Perry 5 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 2 0 4 - -
Alize Johnson 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 4 - -

* = starter