Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (121-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 34 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 19 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 40 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 9-17 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 25 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter