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2021-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -
Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.0% 73.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -8 (119-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 37 8-13 4-8 6-6 7 4 0 2 26 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 8-17 3-9 1-2 3 1 1 1 20 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 31 7-11 2-3 3-4 6 5 1 2 19 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 6-13 3-7 3-3 7 4 0 1 18 - -
Devonte' Graham * 25 6-12 6-12 2-2 2 5 0 0 20 - -
Brad Wanamaker 22 1-3 0-1 4-4 3 7 2 0 6 - -
Cody Zeller 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 12 3 0 3 10 - -
Caleb Martin 14 1-7 0-5 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 3 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Grant Riller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Nick Richards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Darling 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Nwora * 32 9-16 4-10 2-2 6 2 1 0 24 - -
Jeff Teague * 28 8-11 1-2 2-3 2 6 1 0 19 - -
Bryn Forbes * 26 7-14 4-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 18 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo * 26 5-15 0-2 2-5 4 3 1 0 12 - -
Bobby Portis * 25 5-15 0-2 0-0 13 1 0 2 10 - -
Sam Merrill 26 5-13 3-8 0-0 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Mamadi Diakite 22 2-5 0-2 6-6 5 1 2 0 10 - -
Axel Toupane 17 2-4 1-1 4-5 2 2 2 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Rodions Kurucs 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 0 - -

* = starter