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2021-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 64.8% 35.2% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (101-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 34 7-16 2-5 7-9 7 3 1 0 23 - -
Ben Simmons * 33 3-6 0-0 4-9 9 6 5 1 10 - -
Joel Embiid * 31 5-16 0-3 4-4 9 1 0 2 14 - -
Danny Green * 29 3-6 2-5 0-0 7 2 0 1 8 - -
Seth Curry * 26 0-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 20 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 17 4-9 4-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Dwight Howard 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Mike Scott 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Paul Reed 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Mason Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 35 15-28 0-1 7-11 15 8 0 0 37 - -
Brandon Ingram * 34 5-21 2-9 5-6 8 2 2 0 17 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 28 3-9 1-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Steven Adams * 27 3-5 0-0 1-4 5 1 3 3 7 - -
Naji Marshall * 22 0-4 0-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 1 - -
James Johnson 32 2-7 1-4 1-2 3 1 3 1 6 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 3 1 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 19 5-6 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 10 - -
Jaxson Hayes 19 5-6 0-1 2-3 6 0 0 1 12 - -

* = starter