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2021-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% - ✓
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 ✓ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +4 (133-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 39 9-18 3-9 2-3 3 5 1 0 23 - -
Ja Morant * 38 9-18 4-5 4-8 4 6 0 1 26 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 35 8-11 1-1 3-4 14 2 1 3 20 - -
Kyle Anderson * 33 4-10 2-5 5-6 6 5 2 1 15 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 3-9 1-4 3-3 0 4 1 0 10 - -
Desmond Bane 22 6-9 3-4 1-3 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 5 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 3-6 0-0 0-3 5 4 0 1 6 - -
Tyus Jones 14 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 8 - -
John Konchar 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 4-12 1-2 6-9 10 11 1 0 15 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 7-13 2-4 4-5 5 2 1 0 20 - -
Nerlens Noel * 24 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 4 6 - -
Reggie Bullock * 20 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Elfrid Payton * 15 5-9 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 12 - -
Alec Burks 33 5-15 3-8 6-6 5 2 0 0 19 - -
Immanuel Quickley 30 7-12 4-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 20 - -
Taj Gibson 27 1-4 0-0 4-4 8 1 1 1 6 - -
Derrick Rose 26 8-17 0-4 3-3 4 3 1 2 19 - -
Obi Toppin 14 3-5 0-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Frank Ntilikina 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter