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2021-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (120-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 18-31 7-12 7-8 8 5 0 0 50 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 11-19 3-5 0-0 10 2 1 0 25 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 33 0-6 0-3 0-0 1 10 2 0 0 - -
Patrick Williams * 25 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 - -
Thaddeus Young * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 4 - -
Coby White 28 4-11 1-5 2-2 1 4 1 0 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen 26 1-4 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 15 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Theis 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clint Capela * 37 10-12 0-0 2-3 10 1 0 2 22 - -
Trae Young * 37 15-25 1-6 11-14 8 9 0 0 42 - -
Kevin Huerter * 34 5-8 1-4 0-0 2 5 2 1 11 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 34 5-10 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Solomon Hill * 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Danilo Gallinari 30 6-16 4-8 4-4 6 1 2 0 20 - -
Lou Williams 17 3-7 1-3 2-2 0 5 0 0 9 - -
Tony Snell 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter