Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -5 (106-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner * | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 23 | 7-14 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 21 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Ennis III * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 18 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 27 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 25 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 22 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 17 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter