Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (116-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 6-27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 34 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Axel Toupane | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 11-20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 34 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 10-20 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 33 | 6-16 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter